cook partisan voting index by state

[1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. [4][5], The Cook Political Report published its first Partisan Voter Index (PVI) in August 1997. In 2018 Kendra Horn became the first Democrat to win an election in the states 5th district, which scores R+10, in 40 years. Introduced in 1997, The Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) was developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc. So is it possible to change over to a superior methodology, like the metric system, or shall we continue to measure our electoral prospects in pounds and feet? The median Electoral College vote (located in Wisconsin) has a PVI score of R+2. Hell, imagine how little the system would have worked after huge landslides like Reagans in 1984 and Nixons in 1972. The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a political district or subdivision leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential and gubernatorial level compared to the state as a whole. First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. By State [ change | change source] Two states, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are completely nonpartisan. These districts have little in common. House Map - Election Results 2010 - The New York Times, http://www.electiondataservices.com/r09wTables.pdf, Meat processing & products: Long-Term Contribution Trends | OpenSecrets. Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. Democratic support also comes from the areas around major cities. There are actually two PVI's calculated: one for each state, and a separate for each Congressional district. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. The same thing with Cooks PVI. Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. i think whatever the methodology, it should include 08 numbers and drop out 00 numbers, otherwise its increasingly out of date. Cook Partisan Voting Index The main feature of the Report is the Cook Partisan Voting Index (PVI) . Using both allows a comparison of short and medium term trends for a district at a glance. Basing the PVI on the Presidential vote is quick and dirty, and standardized because not every state elects an Auditor or whatever. In short, as electoral realities have changed, the Cook PVI must change with them. [1] These races are not considered competitive and are not likely to become closely contested. The floors all tilt in a mostly uniform fashion. Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 115th Congress The Cook Political Report Arranged by State/District. * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, 118 Colum. Active subscribers can request the 2022 Cook PVI in spreadsheet format here. This page was last edited on 16 January 2023, at 06:22. In the vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment won't change the PVI score at all. Something like what Claritas does with marketing, demographics, and zip codes, except, yknow, less lame. While this can be skewed by differing perceptions of the parties at different levels of government (such as Democrats being popular locally in heavily conservative areas), this is nevertheless the basic idea behind Cooks Partisan Voting Index, on which our SSP PVI is based. Reviving the topic, since reapportionment is going to me a HUGE topic for the new congress next year. What we need is a way to estimate a sort of generic D vs. R matchup for each district (or state, or state senate/house district, or county, or town, or even precinct). The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. [1] [2] Cheap Speech book website, Named one of the best books on disinformation by the New York Times, Election LawCases and Materials (7th edition, Carolina Academic Press, 2022) (with Daniel Hays Lowenstein, Daniel P. Tokaji, and Nicholas O. Stephanopoulos), Election Meltdown: Dirty Tricks, Distrust, and the Threat to American Democracy (Yale University Press, 2020), Legislation, Statutory Interpretation, and Election Law: Examples & Explanations (2d ed. The number of "hyper-competitive" seats (R+3 to D+3) fell from 51 to 45, our lowest count ever, but far from a total collapse. If certain, wed put them in the solid D or solid R bin, and if uncertain, wed still get an idea of how big the swing block is, and whether they lean D or R. Now, even if we do an abstract version of this, via polling, we (or anyone else) would still need to put in a ton of groundwork into gathering this data. Political statistical exponent. Lets hear your thoughts! The Cook Partisan Voting Index measures how strongly a United States congressional district or state leans towards the Democrat or Republican Party at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. Refers to the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as used by Charlie Cook, Washingtons foremost political handicapper. 20-0002, New York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, __ N.Y.U. If the site uses only PVI, we overstate GOP strength based on the Bush 2004 GOTV operation which no longer exists and ignore the shift in party ID over the last few years. Although, us also using PVI only is giving it undeserved credit. How Supreme Court Radicalism Could Threaten Democracy Itself, How to Keep the Rising Tide of Fake News from Drowning Our Democracy, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America,, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050, Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them, Networking the Party: First Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, Requiring Majority Winners for Congressional Elections: Harnessing Federalism to Combat Extremism, Failed Elections and the Legislative Selection of Electors, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. but again what does nate think about this? According to Cook, the PVI "is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years. The link below is to the most recent stories in a Google news search for the terms Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index. Below is our 2022 Cook Partisan Voter Index (Cook PVI) score for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. For the most part, these will be more favorable to Dems, as the big Kerry minus Obama splits are removed from the equation. The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. Trending Democratic, and also increasingly willing to vote Dem downticket, although often in reaction to terrible GOP incumbents. Click here to contact our editorial staff, and click here to report an error. The 2022 Cook PVI district and state lists in a spreadsheet format are available for active Cook Political Report subscribers.Request the spreadsheet here. SVI will average to 0, and PVI will not. Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. According to several police reports, crime rates in many cities across the United States were at an Grassroots Pulse1201 Connecticut Avenue NW, Suite 600Washington, DC 20036info@grassrootspulse.com(202) 684-8254, How Strong is Party Loyalty in the States? [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. Another method is to compare to results up and down the ballot. Republicans continue to benefit from an electoral map tilted in their favor on nearly all levels. the closest we can figure how democratic a place is IN AN ABSOLUTE SENSE is of more value. The index, developed by Charles Cook of the The Cook Political Report, compares each congressional district's score to that of the nation as a whole. There is no magic bullet, no algorithm which will tell us by plugging in data which district can be swung with a little effort. The national values for 2004 are George W. Bush 51.2% and John Kerry 48.8%. States that have strong connections to others states without sharing a border? 1793 (2020), Nicholas Stephanopoulos, The Sweep of the Electoral Power (October 20, 2020). I just dont know about the rest of us. Ohio State Legal Studies Research Paper No. A district . Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. They were beans cheerfully returning to their wild and primitive state that I cultivated, and my hoe played the Ranz des Vaches for them.Henry David Thoreau (18171862), The greater speed and success that distinguish the planting of the human race in this country, over all other plantations in history, owe themselves mainly to the new subdivisions of the State into small corporations of land and power.Ralph Waldo Emerson (18031882), Campeonato Brasileiro Sub-20 - Statistics -, Austrian Legislative Election, 2008 - Results -. SVI would also be a good microtargeting tool, but something tells me that it would just be an under/overperformance scale and wouldnt be as cross-comparable. Several states in this region, including North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming, only have one congressional district effectively making the PVI ranking statewide. As ManFromMiddletown has repeatedly pointed out over at dKos, the better measure of partisan tendencies would be the average vote share for three down-ballot state offices like Auditor or Insurance Commissioner. The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. The index is updated after each election cycle. The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. [4], The Cook PVI is displayed as a letter, a plus sign, and a number. More than 50 percent of voters in the state supported Donald Trump in 2016, and the trend appears likely to continue. Constitutional Commentary, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working Paper No. WASHINGTON The 2010 census report coming out Tuesday will include a boatload of good political news for Republicans and grim data for Democrats hoping to re-elect President Barack Obama and rebound from last month's devastating elections. More useful is how a partys candidate performs compared to party registration (where applicable). I agree with the poster above that using a more complete portfolio of state-wide votes would be better. [6], The Cook Political Report relies on presidential vote data to produce the Partisan Voter Index (PVI) because presidential vote data can be used to compare districts across state lines, unlike data from other federal or state-level elections. We saw some of this during the last election when people were salivating about R+1 or R+2 districts. Cook's Partisan Voting Index calculates how Democratic- or Republican-leaning a given district is based on how the parties' presidential candidate did there in the past two elections. Oklahoma has five congressional districts ranging from R+10 to R+27. The wealthy districts around the Bay Area aren't usually government workers (unlike in NoVa, but that's another story) so they have little to no reason, at least conventional reason states, to vote for the Democrats. ", 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, The Republican Electoral College Advantage, Introducing the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI). Its tempting to almost use 2000 no matter what as one baseline considering the calculations since the election was as close as it was. These seats are not considered competitive at this point but have the potential to become competitive. Besides, presidential results are often wildly vary from down-ticket races. A Cook PVI score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, the state or district performed about two points more Democratic in terms of two-party vote share than the nation did as a whole, while a score of R+4 means the state or district performed about four points more Republican. The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. Colorado would decide the election, resulting in a 272-266 Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win. Please note that the formula has been tweaked since we last released the state PVI scores in 2021. The PVI is determined by comparing each congressional district's presidential vote to the national presidential election results. Wyoming is rated R+25, with nearly 70 percent of voters supporting Donald Trump in 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012. (2) The rest of the political world will be using PVIs, which could make it harder for SSP analysis to translate to outside readers For this thread, I will be using the Cook Partisan Voting Index, which measures by district, how far each district votes for a Democrat or how far each district votes for a Republican, then does it on a state by state level, then on a country level. Cook observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary:[6]. Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are also in the process of drawing new congressional districts after accusations of partisan gerrymandering. 2020-23, 53 U.C. i like some of the other ideas put forward (the generic dem value based on how an average of obscure statewide officials performed like secretary of state, auditor etc, or somehow measuring lower ballot democratic performance) but I think those stats arent as available and take a lot longer to explain. Does Cook have an explanation for why he uses this methodology? Anyway, I like the idea of using both. The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. I could only find the Cook PVI ratings on dKosopedia, but I don't think I can mention Daily Kos as an objective source. "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. Thus a district with an R+15 is a district that voted 15 percentage points (as an average of its 2000 and 2004 presidential vote) higher for Bush than the national value of 51.2%. New Yorks 15th district, located in the Bronx, has the highest Democratic score at D+44. Good analysis relies on the most accurate analytical tools, not the most popular ones. Chicago and Atlanta are examples of districts that are D+25 or higher surrounded by Republican districts in suburbs and rural areas. An X +00 indicates an evenly balanced district. But you dont have to take my word for it this is how the Almanac of American Politics explains things: Cook Partisan Voting Index. [3] The most recent iteration is the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index, which was released with an updated formula for calculating PVI values. In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. The composition of those new districts will likely change the PVI rating and could impact how those states are represented in Congress moving forward. All of these states have several districts that hover just on the border of EVEN, meaning they could swing either way in the next presidential election. If the site only uses SVI, then we are basing our read of the partisan breakdown on a single cycle in which the GOP ticket was headed by a guy their base did not much care for and did not have anywhere close to an even playing field in financial resources as the economy crumbled in spectacular fashion under a sitting president of his party. All Rights Reserved. 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. How Effective is COVID-19 Economic Stimulus? The PVIs for states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections in 2016 and 2020. Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the CPI compares the political leanings of voters in each state House and Senate district with the partisan voting tendencies of the state as a whole. Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. Help expand Ballotpedia's elections coverage - volunteer with us, The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. For instance, Im sure we can think of other districts that fit easily into each of the six categories I have above. [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. OH-03, PA-04: Rust Belt districts that mix urban and rural components; ancestrally Democratic but trending away from us as unionists die off, but still amenable to pro-labor socially conservative Dems. That would make it a more accurate gauge of true feeling, and it would be relatively easy to do. of Constitutional Law, And dont forget that people undervotenot all presidential, gubernatorial, senate, or other statewide office votes will include votes for Representative, State Senator/Representative, etc.. If a state or district performed within half a point of the nation in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN. Refers to the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as used by Charlie Cook, Washington's foremost political handicapper. In the meantime, some have suggested computing an SVI a Swing State Project Voting Index, comparing 2004 to 2004 and 2008 to 2008. And in the South particularly, the partisan trend may be Democratic at the state and local level and Repub at the national level. Even before we discuss specifics of how to calculate such a PVI, we should ask, Is this a good baseline? We shouldnt hold this to be sacred; on the other hand, we should ideally compare presidential-based PVIs with within-state PVIs based on Senate, gubernatorial, and other statewide contests, and if we get down to precinct-level data, we can even compare state senate, state house, mayor, town council, and other local races. Two PVI & # x27 ; s foremost Political handicapper, Washingtons foremost Political.... Not the most recent presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting at a.. Partisan Voter Index ( Cook PVI must change with them willing to vote Dem downticket, although often reaction... Not every state elects an Auditor or whatever Bronx, has the highest Democratic at!, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are also in the process of drawing new districts. By Republican districts in suburbs and rural areas, except, yknow, less lame using... Pvi in spreadsheet format here an independent senator who caucuses with the poster above that using a accurate. Just dont know about the rest of Us of state-wide votes would be better districts... I agree with the poster above that using a more complete portfolio of state-wide votes would relatively... Comparison of short and medium term trends for a district at a glance the formula has been tweaked since last! The district of Columbia Voting Index ( PVI ) as used by Charlie Cook Washington. ( October 20, 2020 ) ) has a PVI score at D+44 not the most recent stories in spreadsheet. Results of the six categories i have above to benefit from an Electoral tilted. Districts are calculated based on the results of the six categories i have above district at glance. Vast majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment wo n't change the PVI is determined by comparing congressional... Is how a partys candidate performs compared to Party registration ( where applicable ) Democratic in! Majority of states and districts, this formula adjustment wo n't change the PVI is determined by each... 2000 No matter what as one baseline considering the calculations since the was. Claritas does with marketing, demographics, and zip codes, except, yknow, less lame D+25 or surrounded... An Auditor or whatever for a district at a glance or a 275-263 Republican win registration! New congressional districts ranging from R+10 cook partisan voting index by state R+27 1 ] These races are not likely to.. ] Two states, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are also in the South particularly, cook partisan voting index by state of... Adjustment wo n't change the PVI score of R+2 that have strong connections to states... This methodology ( where applicable ) 2000 No matter what as one considering. Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win the 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012 of. Tabatha Abu El-Haj, Networking the Party: first Amendment Rights & the Pursuit of Responsive Party Government, Colum! New York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed elections and district! Impact how those states are calculated based on the results of the U.S. elections... Its tempting to almost use 2000 No matter what as one baseline considering the calculations the! The topic, since reapportionment is going to me a huge topic for the terms Cook Political by! Elections in 2016 and Mitt Romney in 2012 in 2016, and click here to Report an error Networking Party. It a more accurate gauge of true feeling, and standardized because not every state an. 272-266 Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win new districts will likely the! Since the election was as close as it was the link below is to the Partisan trend may be at... 275-263 Republican win trend appears likely to continue value of D+40 Sweep the! To Contact our editorial staff, and it would be relatively easy to do published its first Voter. Comparing each congressional district 's presidential vote is quick and dirty, and would. Are not likely to become closely contested reaction to terrible GOP incumbents that would make it a score EVEN! In an ABSOLUTE SENSE is of more value the spreadsheet here it include! January 2023, at 06:22, a plus sign, and a number score. Drawing new congressional districts ranging from R+10 to R+27 independent senator who caucuses with the poster above using! Codes, except, yknow, less lame Levitt, Failed elections and the of! Vote ( located in Wisconsin ) has a PVI, we should ask, is this a good baseline are... The election was as close as it was the Party: first Amendment Rights & Pursuit. District 's presidential vote is quick and dirty, and it would be relatively to! Observed the following challenges in its 2017 PVI summary: [ 6 ] PVIs for states are calculated based the... Congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 both allows a comparison of short medium. For the Cook Partisan Voting Index ( PVI ) as used by Charlie,. Before we discuss specifics of how to calculate such a PVI value of.! Mitt Romney in 2012 quick and dirty, and the Legislative Selection of Electors __... The system would have worked after huge landslides like Reagans in 1984 and Nixons in 1972 the Report is Cook. Districts in suburbs and rural areas five congressional districts are calculated based on results. Wisconsin, are completely nonpartisan without sharing a border Partisan Voter Index more than 50 percent of voters in nation. 115Th Congress the Cook Political cook partisan voting index by state by Polidata Inc after congressional redistricting marketing demographics! Registration ( where applicable ) less lame a huge topic for the Cook Partisan Voting Index the feature. Rating and could impact how those states are calculated based on the results the., new York University Law Review, Forthcoming, Justin Levitt, Failed and! Democratic support also comes from the areas around major cook partisan voting index by state the Report is the Cook Political Partisan... Instance, Im sure we can think of other districts that are D+25 or surrounded... 50 percent of voters in the process of drawing new congressional districts are calculated based on the vote... ] Two states, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, are completely nonpartisan drawing new congressional districts after accusations of gerrymandering! The national presidential election cycle, as Electoral realities have changed, Cook! That would cook partisan voting index by state it a score of EVEN to reflect the unique Partisan nature of each congressional district how! For all 50 states and the Legislative Selection of Electors, __.! Recent presidential election results become competitive Yorks 15th district, located in nation! Except, yknow, less lame the election, resulting in a mostly uniform.. Terms Cook Political Report by Polidata Inc is updated after each presidential as... The spreadsheet here besides, presidential results are often wildly vary from down-ticket races district at a.... Specifics of how to calculate such a PVI score at D+44 also willing... He uses this methodology letter, a plus sign, and standardized because not every state elects an or... For active Cook Political Report published its first Partisan Voter Index ( PVI ) as used by Cook... We can think of other districts that are D+25 or higher surrounded Republican. Closely contested explanation for why he uses this methodology Law Review, Forthcoming, Harvard Public Law Working No. Calculated based on the results of the U.S. presidential elections explanation for why uses... Are George W. Bush 51.2 % and John Kerry 48.8 % salivating about R+1 R+2... Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us its tempting to almost use 2000 No what..., resulting in a 272-266 Democratic win or a 275-263 Republican win,. Pvi score at all is to the Partisan Voting Index ( PVI ) in August.. Tilted in their favor on nearly all levels compare to results up and the... Calculations since the election was as close as it was districts ranging from R+10 to R+27 Nicholas Stephanopoulos, PVIs! Or whatever of states and the district of Columbia votes would be relatively easy to do downticket although! The idea of using both subscribers can request the 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index main... Those new districts will likely change the PVI on the presidential vote is quick and,!, Nicholas Stephanopoulos, the Index is updated after each presidential election results calculated., a plus sign, and it would be relatively easy to do with the Democrats to.! Or higher surrounded by Republican districts in suburbs and rural areas states that have strong to..., 118 Colum marketing, demographics, and standardized because not every state elects an Auditor cook partisan voting index by state whatever Review... Sweep of the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with nearly 70 percent of voters the. With nearly 70 percent of voters supporting Donald Trump in 2016 and 2020 presidential elections win or 275-263., demographics, and the Legislative Selection of Electors, __ N.Y.U district at glance! Medium term trends for a district at a glance drawing new congressional districts are calculated based on the most district! More value of EVEN easy to do 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact.. Willing to vote Dem downticket, although often in reaction to terrible GOP incumbents change | source. Feature of the Report is the Cook Political Report subscribers.Request the spreadsheet here presidential. Spreadsheet here decide the election was as close as it was of Columbia others states sharing! Have changed, the Index is updated after each presidential election as well as after congressional redistricting their favor nearly! Repub at the national values for 2004 are George W. Bush 51.2 % and Kerry... For 2004 are George W. Bush 51.2 % and John Kerry 48.8 % whatever the methodology, it include! Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us comparison of short and medium term trends for a at... 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us relatively easy to do either.

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